From the Mail Bag: Economic History of the USSR Forshadows US?


The Economy

By admin, Section Of Public Concern: Open Forum
Posted on Sun Jun 25, 2006 at 08:40:04 AM EST

Many people here are too young to remember why the former USSR collapsed , and those who were reading newspapers and watching television news were misled because the media falsely gave President Reagan credit for that collapse. You should to some research to verify that what I am about to say is correct, because if America ignores this important historical lesson, the result will be disaster for the United States.

The former USSR collapsed because it accumulated too high a foreign debt. Over many years before Reagan became President, the former USSR borrowed money to pay for imports, and since it wasn't exporting enough to pay for imports, that nation was forced to borrow money to pay the interest on the growing debt. Over the years, the foreign debt of the former USSR rose in a compounded way. Eventually, it was necessary to borrow so many billions of dollars per year to just pay the interest that the international banks and other creditors balked. That caused a collapse of the economy of the former USSR. 

As the economy collapsed, the international banks told the USSR that they would be able to lend some money to pay interest if the government changed the economy of the USSR from a communist system to a capitalist system. The United States promised to provide several tens of billions of dollars in aid if the USSR did this. So the former USSR changed her econimic system to a capitalist one, but the United States didn't actually give that aid in the end, and the banks didn't help out either, so the economy continued downward for a period of time. Eventually, of course, the economic collapse of the former USSR reached a bottom, and many of the nations the USSR broke up into have been slowly recovering since. But it was a very low bottom. A massive number of people were running around the streets trying to sell their household goods in order to gain money for food, for example.

If you look at economic history, you will find that other nations that accumulate too high a foreign debt have also collapsed economically. And accumulating too high a foreign debt via our massive trade deficit plus compounding is the result of the export of jobs that America's corporations have been undertaking for some time.

But even without looking at the history, it should be logical from a comparison of the United States to a family. It's no longer legally possible, but if a family were to borrow a lot on their credit cards, never make a repayment, and put all the interest back onto the credit cards as well, it would be a certainty that within a moderate number of years, the family would go bankrupt. Why should it be any different for the United States. If we borrow to consume from foreign banks, governments and other sources to pay for consumption, never make a net repayment, and borrow to pay all the interest, it is certain that the United States will go bankrupt also - will suffer an economic collapse.

When we have a Democratic President in 2008, there will be very little time to turn this around because it will take some doing to reverse the trade deficit, and during that time, we will still be borrowing to pay interest. It will in fact almost be too late, but if a Democratic president in 2008 institutes really major measures within a year or two of coming into office, it might still be possible to save the United States.

Otherwise, we will suffer a drastic economic collapse, which will not only produce much suffering, but we will no longer be able to afford to be a major power.

Jim

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